Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 172.764697 200.011922 231.279585 270.065374 317.230756 373.167445 445.186712
2025-08-10 134.684512 168.399884 211.052218 269.895020 350.451835 459.125556 620.824250
2025-08-17 114.603920 150.945231 200.108069 273.266998 382.588662 545.452462 817.881761
2025-08-24 99.829645 136.789054 189.436521 272.607754 406.054619 622.129872 1022.536979
2025-08-31 88.983469 125.983015 181.012367 272.499471 428.709082 701.317682 1257.113393
2025-09-07 81.566078 118.917510 176.681572 277.338285 459.563269 801.434862 1568.318882
2025-09-14 72.355680 107.810700 164.266861 266.222270 459.349525 843.036885 1773.614880
2025-09-21 66.705182 101.602983 158.848639 266.111094 479.173838 929.246904 2119.036453
2025-09-28 62.263351 96.810698 155.091106 268.203311 503.485232 1031.665523 2556.624362
2025-10-05 60.672748 96.565240 159.081660 285.458718 563.001278 1233.477426 3394.796482
2025-10-12 58.923796 95.811797 161.988925 300.974612 622.461562 1456.990748 4467.222732
2025-10-19 55.236462 91.224258 157.195812 299.720861 642.505634 1582.874365 5292.820026
2025-10-26 52.315288 88.092032 155.477237 306.371270 687.992560 1813.995396 6836.002356
2025-11-02 48.907687 83.762033 150.992318 306.423722 717.824320 2016.557977 8539.737679
2025-11-09 46.267517 80.594581 148.412803 310.380472 759.738261 2283.573194 11013.870790
2025-11-16 43.489497 76.867547 144.190872 309.609144 788.125879 2520.003034 13766.104923
2025-11-23 41.056774 73.581129 140.495076 309.482406 818.765940 2786.343085 17357.175024
2025-11-30 39.307636 71.497232 139.145505 315.148503 870.043559 3177.615014 23147.906445
2025-12-07 36.366290 66.710165 131.263614 302.137704 855.313942 3259.473041 26198.533021
2025-12-14 34.589385 64.199113 128.268995 302.007681 885.925004 3590.298688 33473.232067
2025-12-21 33.130497 62.231908 126.307237 304.454941 927.169078 4014.784204 44298.924352
2025-12-28 32.843817 62.743631 130.221155 324.665724 1044.382960 4997.707426 72467.743083
2026-01-04 32.400403 62.867804 133.218622 342.879259 1162.670924 6147.441844 120185.528181